As you all know, marathon #3 is just eight days away. And as you also know, this will be the first time that I run a marathon injury-free AND full of potential.
So, since I don't have a good sense of how long it will take me to finish, I (with the help of Shelly) thought it would be fun to have contest to see who can best predict my marathon finish time. Fun, right?
Here's the scoop. I am going to give you a bunch of statistics about my training, past performances, etc. Then you use that information to make your best guess on my finish time, down to the second. And the person who is closest (either over or under) will walk away with this ...
(Note: if somehow there is a tie, those names will go into a hat and a winner will be randomly selected.)
THE STATS:
Current Marathon PR: 5:06:38 (injured)
Current Half Marathon PR: 1:58:02
Current 5K PR: 24:09
Average mileage for the past 16 weeks: 42.9 miles per week
Long runs - 20+ miles: 3
(20 @ 10:41 pace, 22 @ 10:11 pace, 24.8 @ 10:44 pace)
So, are you in? Good. Once you have determined my finish time, become a follower (if you already aren't) and leave me a comment with your answer.
Entries will be selected until Friday, October 15th (the day before the race) and the winner will be announced some time in the day or two after the race. Probably.
108 comments:
hmmm I'm taking a total guess...already a follower...
I say 4:48:01
Good luck!
already a follower! I am going to say 4:41:25!
My guess is 4:39:17
good luck!!
I say 4:19:32
Rock it!!
I'm already a follower!
And I say: 4:08:56! Easy Peasy!
Kick butt! 4:34:10
Follower!
4:37:12
Follower--of course!
4:27:18
I'm a follower.
I'm saying 4:19:59.
Just remember to start slow and you will absolutely knock this marathon on its butt!
I am a follower already-
I am going to go with 4:14:30
Cant wait to here all about it. You will do great!!
4:05:03!
Kill it!
4:28:17
Already a follower!
My wild guess?
4:15:58
I'm a follower already :)
My guess: 4:22:22
4:20:33!!!!
I follow you.
Have a great marathon!!
I'm a follower! 4:30:15. Have a great race! I just finished my first marathon in Corning, NY; it was a blast! I'm already looking for another to do!
Already a follower! I'm gonna say 4:20:25.
4:25:17 and I'm already a follower :)
Follower - 4:20:56
I'm a follower, and I'm going with 4:13:27.
I say 4:19:25
Awesome idea!
My guess is: 4:20:00
following :) I am going to say 4:12:38
My guess is 4:22.00. Good luck!
I'm a follower.
I am going to say 4:15:30!
I'm going to say 4:17:59 -- You are going to rock this ... and just may surprise yourself! :-)
hmmm....my guess
4:14:22
Good luck girl!
I follow... my guess
4:16:11
You go girl!
4:10:25
Good luck!
Oh and I'm a follower!
If you eat cake the night before:
4:20:23
If you don't eat cake:
4:05:23
Good luck!
What a fun idea TMB!!!
I'm gonna go with you destroying this thing...
4:09:35
4:06.54
Pumped for you!
I'm a follower.
4:18:02!
I'm a follower!
4:04:44
YOU GO GIRL!
Oooohhh - I feel like I am on the Price is Right! I say 4:15:29! LOL! You will rock it!
4:16:49
I guess 4:18:31.38
Good Luck! I know you'll rock!
My guess is 4:29:37. Good luck!
how fun!! :D 4:12:28
Already a follower :D
4:17:10
ohh this is too fun
Hmm I see a lot of folks are thinking along the same lines as me...let me make sure I don't duplicate any times....
4:22:03
I'm going to go with 4:26:52 because that was the first number that came to my head but I think you'll actually go faster. You've worked so hard, you are totally going to rock this race!!
4:33:28!
Good luck! I'll be running my first half marathon that dy!
I'm already a follower. I'm guessing your time will be 4:16. Good luck!!
4:30:57 GOOD LUCK!! Enjoy every step regardless of time!!
4:29:50 - go get it, you're going to do great! yes, hold back at the beginning...keep all that adrenaline under control! :) it's gonna be so awesome to have a new PR! good luck!
I'm going with 4:18:25.
I'm so excited for you and can't wait to hear how it goes! You are going to CRUSH your PR!
Im guessing 4:05:12
You're going to ROCK this marathon!!!
(Im already a follower)
I think it's going to be awesome!
4:27:14
(already a follower)
4:52:10
Good luck!!!
OK, I just read what everyone else entered and obviously I'm not very good at this...but you will rock the marathon, no doubt! :)
I'm already a follower.
4:21:37
Good luck in Indy! I will send word back home that the Hoosier state better be good to you!
I'm a follower - 4:34:38.
You'll look great and rock through the course, taking it in and enjoying every step.
I'm already a follower...My guess is 4:48:08
I'm a follower :)
4:40.26
Boom. Make it happen. Homegirl needs hydration!
I'm a follower. =)
4:36:47 Rock it girl!
I'm a follower!
4:04:44 I thought I would just go with the number 4 for fun! :)
Good luck!
4.20.39 I think you'll be faster than you think! You're going to do awesome!
Hmm, I love me some 11 so and then lets throw in some 18 for mister Peyton Manning and you get 4:18:11! You are gonna destroy this race!
4:15:22
you can do it!
4:15:22
you can do it!
Seriously, am i the first sub-4 bet?!!! Girl, go for it!! I think you are totally ready for it! Already a follower!
3:59:48
Okay based on the numbers I have access to, I guess 4:18:51
However, I want you to know that I completely know that you are capable of a sub 4 hour marathon. Without a doubt! I believe your training has been amazing. You have done exactly what you should to put yourself in the best posible position to ready have an amazing race.
Please don't let these numbers/guesses change your mindset for this race. I know you are a subborn confident person and I would not want to see you hurt yourself or run a race that was completely devoid of any enjoyment simply to see a "better" number on that finish clock. You WILL set a fantastic new PR no doubt please enjoy getting it too. (okay enough of the mothering, sorry!)
I'm a follower!
And don't take this wrong! I have all the faith in you! But race day can be hard! I know you're going to PR either way!
I think...4:31 - if not better!
Go get 'em girlie!
4:07:24
Already a follower...I'm going to say 4:41:02
Ok - My guess is 4:46:27. A 20 min PR!
4:09:56
You're going to kick major booty!
3:58:43
Good luck!!!
I'll say 4:17:23
You are going to crush your PR!
You are going to rock it no matter what your time but I'm gonna guess 4:13:55!
4:04.41
what a fun contest. Have a great race!
mystorychapter2.blogspot.com
4:09:45
:)
Already a follower, 4 hours 14 min 7 sec
I would LOVE to say something like, the UBER goal and all, but I honestly think that since it's a travel race I have to add 5 minutes SO...
4:09:17
4:46:12
I'm thinking sub-4, as well. I really think 3:56:43. Good luck!
PS: Already a follower.
I say 4:22:26. Already a follower.
4:32:12 - already a follower!! (and an avid reader!)
GOOD LUCK!!!!
and added your giveaway to my giveaway gadget :)
I just became a follower!
4:33:07
I think I am already a follower, need to check. My official guess is 4:10:20 (based on personal experience). In any case I am quite sure you'll go under 4:20 and certain you'll go under 4:30. Best of luck!
I'm a follower!
4:32:16
Good luck! You're going to do great!!! :) :) :)
4:33:33- hehehehe :) GOOD LUCK!
You know I'm a follower.
Sub 4 hour marathon.
03:55:00
I follow! 4:16:23 Good luck!!!
I will guess 4:23:08. Good luck!!!
4:11:11
I thought that I would guess this because this race will set you up for your 4th marathon(hence the #4)... The rest are #1's to show you that you can do it! Add them up and it equals, you guessed it, 4!!!
I run my first full marathon in January, maybe you have some tips for me?! I need more followers, just started this but blogging really keeps me motivated.
Good luck!
Love following your blog! You'll do awesome! It was hard to read through all 87 comments :) so hopefully my guess has not already been written...
4:13:15
GOOD LUCK!!
I am going to say -
04:23:45
Good luck!
4:25:19
It has all your bib numbers in it.
(4+2+5=11)
4:24:02 (And I'm a follower, of course.)
4:07:07
Looking forward to the awesome race recap! You go girl!
4.37:22.
Hope you do a sub 4 though! Any way you look at it, you will rock it!!
4:11:22 Rock this one for me. Completely destroy the 5 hour marathon curse. I know you can do it.
I'm totally a follower :)
I'm thinking 4:16:35
4:44:44
4:12:38... best of luck!!!
I have been following your blog for a little while now... reading about your running experience helped me decide to take the plunge and sign up for my own marathon... thanks!
already a follower...4:58:12
Fun contest! I'm already a follwer. I'm gonna go with 4:26:03. You got this thing in the bag. Have fun out there!
4:15:23
4:31:16
4:23:48
Have a great time! And be sure to trust your training and ignore all of us... :)
4:36:48
T,
I'm a follower, of course.
And I've waiting until the last second to post this because I know how important the numbers are to you. So, I've put some thought into this. Here goes.
4:32:10. You can ask me the meaning behind it when I win. :)
4:16:10
Considering how awesome your training and attitude have been I am going for 4:08:33.
I hope you have a blast!
Alinda
4:26:30
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